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    The availability of critical minerals for China’s renewable energy development: an analysis of physical supply

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    Authors
    Wang, Jianliang
    Yang, Lifang
    Bentley, Yongmei
    Lin, Jingli
    Issue Date
    2020-01-13
    Subjects
    China
    renewable energy
    Subject Categories::H221 Energy Resources
    
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    Abstract
    In the context of depletion of fossil energy and environmental impacts of its use, society has begun to develop vigorously renewable energy (RE). As a result, concerns about the availability of critical minerals used in RE systems have been raised. This paper uses a generalized Weng model to analyze the long-term production of critical minerals for China’s RE development. In our pessimistic case, the results show that the production of most of the minerals investigated for China will peak before 2030, with a relatively high decline rate thereafter. This is an unsustainable situation for China’s RE development unless large and growing quantities of these minerals can be imported. In our optimistic case, although this delays the peak date only slightly, it significantly increases the maximum production rate and lowers the subsequent decline rate. The impacts of many other factors on production, and the implications of China’s domestic minerals production on world’s minerals supply chain, are also analyzed. We conclude that both China and the world should pay close attention to the potential supply risks to critical minerals. Possible measures in response are suggested for both China and the world.
    Citation
    Wang J, Yang L, Bentley Y, Lin J (2020) 'The availability of critical minerals for China’s renewable energy development: an analysis of physical supply', Natural Resources Research, 29, pp.2991-2306.
    Publisher
    Springer
    Journal
    Natural Resources Research
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10547/624024
    DOI
    10.1007/s11053-020-09615-5
    Additional Links
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11053-020-09615-5
    Type
    Article
    Language
    en
    ISSN
    1520-7439
    EISSN
    1573-8981
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1007/s11053-020-09615-5
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    Business and management

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