A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change
Authors
Thomas, Chris D.Hill, Jane K.
Anderson, Barbara J.
Bailey, Sallie
Beale, Colin M.
Bradbury, Richard B.
Bulman, Caroline R.
Crick, Humphrey Q. P.
Eigenbrod, Felix
Griffiths, Hannah M.
Kunin, William E.
Oliver, Tom H.
Walmsley, Clive A.
Watts, Kevin
Worsfold, Nicholas T.
Yardley, Tim
Affiliation
University of YorkForestry Commission
Royal Society for the Protection of Birds
Butterfly Conservation
Natural England
University of Sheffield
NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Countryside Council for Wales
Forest Research
Issue Date
2011-04Subjects
biodiversityclimate envelope
distribution
global warming
IUCN
policy
risk assessment
species conservation
conservation
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Current national and international frameworks for assessing threats to species have not been developed in the context of climate change, and are not framed in a way that recognises new opportunities that arise from climate change. The framework presented here separates the threats and benefits of climate change for individual species. Threat is assessed by the level of climate-related decline within a species’ recently occupied (e.g. pre-1970s) historical distribution, based on observed (e.g. repeat census) and/or projected changes (e.g. modelled bioclimate space). Benefits are assessed in terms of observed and/or projected increases outside the recently occupied historical range. Exacerbating factors (e.g. small population size, low dispersal capacity) that might increase levels of threat or limit expansion in response to climate change are taken into consideration within the framework. Protocols are also used to identify levels of confidence (and hence research and/or monitoring needs) in each species’ assessment.Citation
Thomas, C.D. Hill, J.K., Anderson, B.A. et al. (2011) 'A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2(2),pp.125-142Publisher
Wiley BlackwellJournal
Methods in Ecology and EvolutionAdditional Links
http://doi.wiley.com/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00065.xType
ArticleLanguage
enISSN
2041-210Xae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00065.x